Exceptional Rainfall Totals of 3 to 5 Inches Forecast Across Texas and Surrounding Region Through Memorial Day With NOAA Blend of Models Projecting Historic Precipitation Through May 26
DALLAS, TX — NOAA’s Blend of Models latest forecast run is projecting exceptional and widespread rainfall totals across Texas and the surrounding region through Memorial Day on May 26, 2026. The 10 day accumulated precipitation forecast, valid through 6:00 PM Central Time on May 26, shows deep red and grey shading dominating a massive portion of Texas and neighboring states, indicating rainfall totals ranging from 3 inches to well over 5 inches across the affected corridor.
NOAA Blend of Models Projects 3 to 5 Inch Totals Across a Massive Texas Corridor
The forecast map shows intense red shading covering the majority of Texas and extending into surrounding states, with rainfall totals of 3.5 to 4.6 inches projected across a wide central Texas corridor. Grey shading indicating the highest accumulation zones of 5 inches or more appears across multiple concentrated pockets, including areas showing individual values of 5.0 and 5.1 inches across portions of central and eastern Texas through the Memorial Day period.
The geographic breadth of the heavy rainfall footprint is particularly striking, with significant accumulations projected from the Gulf Coast northward through the interior of Texas across the entire 10 day window.
Extreme Totals Exceeding 5 Inches Possible Raising Flooding Concerns
Several distinct zones within the forecast map show rainfall accumulation potential exceeding 5 inches through Memorial Day, with the highest individual values on the map reaching 5.1 inches. These extreme accumulation zones are scattered across a broad area rather than concentrated in a single location, suggesting multiple rounds of heavy rainfall are expected to impact different portions of Texas at various points throughout the forecast period.
The combination of widespread 3 to 4 inch totals and localized 5 inch plus values raises significant concerns for flooding, soil saturation, and water management infrastructure across communities throughout the affected corridor heading into the Memorial Day holiday weekend.
Western Texas Sees Lighter Totals as Sharp Rainfall Gradient Splits the Region
The western edge of the forecast domain shows considerably lighter rainfall totals, with blue shading indicating accumulations of 0.3 to 1.6 inches across the far western portions of the region. This sharp gradient from west to east reflects Gulf moisture driving the heaviest rainfall into central and eastern Texas while western areas remain comparatively drier through the 10 day window.
For continuing coverage of rainfall forecasts and flood potential across the United States, visit SaludaStandard-Sentinel.com.
