DALLAS, Texas — The Southern Plains are gearing up for a warmer and drier winter as a weak La Niña climate pattern takes hold heading into early 2026, according to the National Weather Service in Norman, Oklahoma.

La Niña to Shift Jet Stream Northward

Forecasters say the subtropical jet stream will shift northward during the coming months, diverting storm systems away from Texas and Oklahoma and reducing overall rainfall. This atmospheric setup often brings above-average temperatures and below-average precipitation to much of the southern United States.

Daytime highs across both states are expected to run 3–5 degrees above normal, with cold fronts remaining brief and quickly followed by warm rebounds.

Drought and Fire Risks Increase

Meteorologists warn that a prolonged stretch of mild, dry weather could intensify drought conditions, particularly across central Texas and western Oklahoma, where rainfall has already been limited through the fall.

Fire managers across the region say cured grasses combined with gusty west winds may elevate wildfire danger by late January. Local authorities are urging residents to monitor burn bans, secure outdoor items ahead of windy days, and conserve water as reservoir levels decline.

Few Frosts, But Watch for Short Cold Snaps

While the season will be warmer overall, occasional frost events are still possible — especially following strong frontal passages. Residents are encouraged to protect sensitive plants, check irrigation systems, and cover outdoor pipes during brief cold outbreaks.

Looking Ahead

If the La Niña pattern persists, forecasters expect the Southern Plains to experience a predominantly sunny and dry winter, punctuated by short-lived cold fronts and breezy afternoons. The National Weather Service says any meaningful rainfall may not return until late February or early spring, when the region could transition back toward more neutral Pacific conditions.

Officials are reminding Texans and Oklahomans to remain alert for fire weather watches and air quality alerts as the season progresses.

How are you preparing for a warmer, drier winter? Share your thoughts in the comments and stay tuned to SaludaStandard-Sentinel.com for continuing regional weather coverage.