Spaghetti Models Show Invest 92L Storm Track; Impact on South Carolina

COLUMBIA, S.C. — Forecasters are closely monitoring Invest 92L, a tropical disturbance in the Atlantic Ocean that has a high chance of developing into a tropical depression or storm later this week. If winds reach 39 mph, the storm would be named Gabrielle, becoming the seventh named system of the Atlantic hurricane season.

What the Spaghetti Models Show

Meteorologists said the latest spaghetti models — charts that map out potential storm paths — show a likely northward turn into the Atlantic, keeping the system away from the U.S. coastline. Still, experts warn that tropical systems can shift quickly.

“Forecast models are pretty convinced that this storm will make a turn to the north long before the Caribbean Islands, but some impacts can’t be totally ruled out,” said Fox Weather meteorologist Ian Oliver.

AccuWeather’s Alex DaSilva agreed, saying steering winds are likely to push the system north of the Caribbean and away from the United States.

Current Development Chances

As of Sept. 15, the National Hurricane Center gave the system a 50% chance of formation within 48 hours and a 90% chance within seven days.

The disturbance is moving west to west-northwest at 10 to 15 mph. Forecasters say environmental conditions appear favorable for gradual organization, with the storm likely strengthening through midweek.

Hurricane Season in Peak Period

The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1 through Nov. 30, with the peak occurring in mid-September. Although Invest 92L may not directly impact South Carolina, meteorologists caution residents not to become complacent.

“Delaying potentially life-saving preparations could mean waiting until it’s too late,” NOAA officials advised. Residents are urged to review evacuation plans, check insurance policies, and stock up on emergency supplies.

What South Carolina Residents Should Do

• Stay alert: Even if Invest 92L turns north, other tropical systems could form closer to the Southeast.
• Have a plan: Review evacuation routes and establish family communication plans.
• Secure property: Trim trees, check storm shutters, and prepare homes for high winds.
• Check insurance: Flood insurance requires a 30-day waiting period, so early action is critical.

While current forecasts suggest that Invest 92L will stay offshore, South Carolina residents should remain prepared as the peak of hurricane season continues. Do you feel confident in your family’s hurricane readiness plan? Share your thoughts in the comments at SaludaStandard-Sentinel.com.