Atlantic System Given 70% Chance of Tropical Development by National Hurricane Center
COLUMBIA, S.C. — Forecasters are monitoring a tropical disturbance moving across the central Atlantic that now carries a 70% chance of developing into a named storm within the next seven days, according to the National Hurricane Center.
Tropical Wave Moves Westward
The system, a tropical wave that recently moved past the Cabo Verde islands, remains disorganized but could gain strength later this week. If it develops, the next storm name on the 2025 Atlantic hurricane list is Gabrielle.
Meteorologists said the wave will continue to move westward across the Atlantic, guided by the Bermuda High, before possibly curving north depending on shifting high-pressure systems.
Uncertainty on Track and Impact
While forecasters caution that it is too early to know the storm’s eventual track, early models suggest a possible northward turn as the Bermuda High shifts eastward toward the Azores. This movement would resemble the path of Hurricane Erin, which turned north earlier this season.
Still, officials are warning residents of the northeastern Caribbean and surrounding islands to monitor updates closely in case the system drifts closer to the Lesser Antilles.
Quiet Start, But Peak Season Ahead
Although this year may seem quieter than previous hyperactive hurricane seasons, experts note that activity is actually near average. So far, six named storms have formed in 2025, with Hurricane Erin the only major storm.
Atmospheric conditions such as Saharan dust and dry air over the Caribbean have reduced storm development so far. However, the peak of hurricane season runs through September, and meteorologists expect more tropical waves to emerge from Africa in the coming weeks.
Forecasters urge coastal residents not to let their guard down. The second half of hurricane season is historically the busiest period for storms, and conditions could shift quickly.
Do you take extra steps to prepare during hurricane season, or do you wait until a system gets closer? Share your experiences with us at SaludaStandard-Sentinel.com.
